MDCalc

For Patients: VACO Index COVID-19 Mortality Risk

For use by non-clinicians. Calculate your or a loved one's risk of dying within 30 days of contracting COVID-19. See risk visualization in results for more info.

This is a patient-facing tool. The healthcare provider version of the VACO Index is available here. Developed in collaboration with the US Department of Health and Human Services (HHS), including the CDC, NIH, VA, and the Assistant Secretary of Preparedness and Response.

After calculating a result, see our helpful aid to visualize your covid risk (link in the results box).

years
Sex
History of Diabetes
Chronic pulmonary disease
(lung diseases from smoking such as COPD and emphysema)
Kidney disease
(can include dialysis, but doesn't need to)
Peripheral vascular disease
(a.k.a. PVD, PAD - arterial or venous)
Congestive heart failure
(a.k.a. CHF, "weak heart")
Dementia
(including Alzheimer's and others)
History of Cancer
Stroke
(i.e. CVA)
History of liver disease
Heart attack
(i.e. myocardial infarction)
Peptic ulcer disease
Paralysis of arm(s) or leg(s)
AIDS
Not simply HIV, if well controlled choose "No"
Rheumatologic disease
(including rheumatoid arthritis, lupus, Crohn's disease, ulcerative colitis, psoriasis, osteoarthritis, gout, scleroderma, and more)

Result:

Please fill out required fields.
Advice

Estimating risk of death from COVID-19 may help someone understand their risk during everyday activities that involve potential exposure. 

If you believe you have COVID-19:

  • Talk with your doctor: Individuals at moderate or high risk, including those aged 65 years and older or with certain comorbidities (e.g., respiratory disease, cancer, kidney disease, liver disease, cardiovascular disease, diabetes, disabilities, immunocompromised states, mental health disorders, neurologic conditions, obesity, physical inactivity, pregnancy, smoking status, sickle cell disease) may qualify for COVID-19–specific treatments, which should start as soon as possible.
  • Stay home when sick; use extra precautions as you recover.
  • Call 911 or go to the emergency department for trouble breathing, chest pain/pressure, new confusion, inability to wake/stay awake, or pale/gray/blue lips/skin/nail beds.
  • After you’re better, stay up to date on COVID-19 vaccination.